H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Speed ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened modestly given that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a typhoon on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has ended up being less specific. Tammy was initially anticipated to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer assistance is now recommending that the storm might wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) became a big and very effective typhoon that triggered massive destruction and significant death. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, exceeding the record formerly held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Hurricane Katrina was due to flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood defense system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, in addition to large locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon cautions have now been provided for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That implies cyclone conditions are anticipated in a few of these areas. You can see the latest warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might cause flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were occurring over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is anticipated to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a typhoon that might bring deadly conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the typhoon center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has activated hurricane cautions for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a hazard to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum continual winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 typhoon was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outside as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to typhoon professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon professionals previously warned typhoons could form in uncommon areas later on in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most major dangers and might lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy